"there are many patterns in life that we sense,
but cannot fully place into words.
my favorite example is the young child
who creates grammatical sentences when she talks,
but cannot tell you the rules of grammar she is using.
similarly, i can sense clearly
when a person is talking in a very sincere or insincere manner,
but cannot necessarily tell you all the subtle cues--the changes in vocal inflection, the nuances of facial expression--that lead me to that conclusion.
as for the experienced trader, for the seasoned psychologist, it's a gut thing: the result of thousands of exposures to patterns that recur, but rarely the same way twice.
once the concentration of the psychologist or trader is broken,
the access to those subtle gut hunches
is lost.
in that situation, the experienced professional loses contact with years of experience and, indeed, becomes a rookie."
- dr.brett steenbarger
author of 'the psychology of trading'
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