1. you might have erred in anaylsing
2. nobody in the world knows what is going to happen on geo-politico-eco-socio stage. facts of incidents outweigh the technicals.
3. the big players are seeing the same technical screens that you are seeing. they know what have just seen and what you would be trying to do!
4. there are people in the market who don't see technicals and keep walking extra mile!
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